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Recent Analysis

Data Reports

Short Pieces

About FMI
Titles below discuss macro and micro economic theory. If it is the main topic,
'T' will appear in the parenthesis. If it is a secondary theme, 't' will appear.
Economic Theory (T)
2002     2001     2000     1999     1998     1997    1995-1996
Organized by Category
Fed Policy (F)

Labor Market (L)

Consumer (C)

Economy/View (E)

Price Inflation (P)

International (I)

Government (G)

Theory (T)

Data Detail (D)
07/18/02 - If We Must, Some Thoughts On Deflation (P,t)
03/07/02 - 01Q4 Weak GDP, Weaker Hours A Sign Of Recovery (D,t)
02/14/02 - Given Nominal Growth, Earnings Forecasts Too Optimistic (E,d,t)

10/12/01 - Taylor Rule Suggests Fed Target Rate Not Inappropriate (F,t)
10/04/01 - Real Short Rates Are Not That Low (E,f,t)
05/16/01 - Payroll Employment Redesign Continues (D,t)
04/06/01 - Steepening Yield Curve Points To Recovery (T,f,e)

11/14/00 - Wicksell Suggests No Rate Cuts Near-Term (T,f,e)
10/20/00 - Swap Curve Has Narrowed, Still Not Inverted (F,e,t)
10/13/00 - Consumption, Income, & Wealth: Part II (C,e,t)
10/12/00 - Consumption, Income, & Wealth: Part I (C,e,t)
10/05/00 - Initial Sep Payroll Change Revised Up A Lot (D,t) 
08/24/00 - Uncovering the New Consensus Paradigm, Part II (E,t)
08/16/00 - Uncovering The New Consensus Paradigm, Part I (E,t)
05/19/00 - Jobless Rate Below Natural Rate; Rates Up More (T,l,f)
04/24/00 - Comparing The CPI To The Consumption Deflator (P,t,d)
04/18/00 - Inflation Up; Bad News For Fed, Stocks, & Bonds (P,f,t)
01/10/00 - Why Is Payroll Job Growth Stronger Than Hhold Growth? (L,t,d)

10/25/99 - Stocks To Continue To Have Little Impact On Spending (C,t)

09/03/98 - With Capital Stock Replenished & Profits Dismal, Equipment Spending Should Weaken Noticeably (E,t)
08/26/98 - Capital Gains Tax Payments Distorting Saving Rate (D,t,c)
08/26/98 - Broad Limitations Of Saving Rate Measures (D,t,c)
01/14/98 - Keynes’ Corridor: World Economy Likely To Adjust Without Major Policy Intervention (T,i)
01/09/98 - Recent Narrowing In Yield Curve Does Not Point To Weaker Economy (F,e,t)

07/03/97 - Rating The Independence Of Central Banks Around The World (F,i,t)
07/02/97 - 10-Year Note-Nominal GDP Premium Is Relatively Low (E,t)
04/23/97 - Analysis Of Geometric-Mean CPI (P,d,t)
04/22/97 - Technical Adjustments Continue To Improve CPI (D,p,t)
03/07/97 - Stock Market Strength’s Paradoxical Impact On Consumption (C,t)

12/06/96 - CPI Overstates COLA But Less Than Boskin Commission Suggests (P,t,d)
12/04/96 - Flawed Establishment Survey To Be Redesigned (D,t)
10/29/96 - Why The Household Job Data May Be Better Than The Payroll Data (D,l,t)
08/15/96 - The Taylor Rule Suggests Rising Rates In 1996-97 (T,e)
06/20/96 - Using Retail Sales & Other Data In Estimating Consumption (D,c,t)
04/10/96 - Temp Workers Affecting Labor Market Efficiency (L,t,d)
03/14/96 - The Bond Market As Predictor Of Fed Policy (F,t)
02/09/96 - Are Inflated Stock Market Expectations Leading To Less Consumption? (C,t)
09/11/95 - Using Fed Funds Rate To Derive Realistic Ranges For Long Bond Yields (F,t)
07/12/95 - Taylor Policy Rule Has Successfully Tracked Fed Funds Changes (T,f)
05/17/95 - Cyclical Stocks Have Outperformed Consumer Stocks Since February; Higher Rates Likely (F,t)

Recent Analysis Data Reports Short Pieces About FMI

Last Modified: Friday, July 09, 2004 02:02 PM. Copyright © 1998 Free Market, Inc. All rights reserved.