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2012
01/18/12 - Fed Housing Plan Is Poor Politics, Bad Economics (F,g)
2011
12/12/11 - Payroll Tax Deal -- Little Fiscal Stimulus or Drag in 2012 (G)
11/14/11 - 2011 Elections: Obamacare the Big Loser (G)
10/21/11 - Putting the Hurt on OWS Protests (G)
10/13/11 - A Nobel Conflict: Sargent vs. Krugman/Obama (G,f)
09/21/11 - Fiscal Drag Will Be Modest in Jan. ’12, Killer in Jan. ‘13 (G)
08/15/11 - Policy Solutions – Is There Will? There Are Ways (G)
08/01/11 - Debt Deal Does Diddly, Delays Dire Decisions (G)
07/26/11 - Debt Ceiling Will Be Lifted, But Deal Won’t Fix Fiscal Mess (G)
06/16/11 - New Finance Regs Will Have Little Longer-Term Impact (G)
04/12/11 - Who Won the Budget Face-OfF? What's Next? (G)
04/07/11 - This Fight Is Pocket Change; Real Struggle Begins in FY12 (G)
03/07/11 - Governors Taking Lead on Cutting Spending, Long-Term Reform (G)
01/24/11 - S&L Gov't Will Be a Drag on Economy for Years (G)
2010
11/19/10 - Can Congress Cut Spending & Be Re-elected? Let’s Find Out1 (G)
11/04/10 - GOP Dominates State Races, Biggest Margin in 80 Years (G)
09/14/10 - Bush Tax Cuts Likely Extended Only for Lower Brackets (G)
08/26/10 - S&L Governments Will Continue to Shed Jobs (G)
08/19/10 - Policymakers Impotent; Doing More Would Make It Worse (G)
08/05/10 - U.S. Is Avoiding Japan’s Crippling Policy Mistakes (G)
07/27/10 - New Financial Law Has Broad Scope, Modest Impact (G)
07/20/10 - Lending ‘Crunch’ Not Behind Sluggish Small Biz Hiring (E,g)
04/13/10 - S&L Government to Be Drag on GDP for Years (G)
03/25/10 - Drag from Obamacare Intensifies in 2013 (G)
01/12/10 - Don't Count on the Census for Economic Boost (G)
01/07/10 - ‘Cadillac’ Health Insurance Tax Will Generate Chevy Revenue (G)
2009
10/27/09 - Home Prices Are At/Near Bottom,
Should Rise Some in 2010 (E,g)
10/20/09 - Flash Forward: Recovery Solid,
But Tax Threat Looming (E,g)
08/19/09 - Cash-for-Clunkers: The Katrina
School of Economic Stimulus (G)
06/08/09 - State Budget Woes Likely to Help
GOP in 2010 Elections (G)
05/22/09 - CAFE Oy Vey: New Regulations
Impose Heavy Costs (G)
04/06/09 - For the Wages of Sin Is Death,
Plus Tax (G)
03/20/09 - Policymakers Dithering; Bernanke
Last Adult in Room (G,f)
02/24/09 - A Return to Lax Lending; Pay
Other People's Mortgages (G)
02/19/09 - FSP: Valuation of Toxic Assets
Remains Big Hurdle (G)
02/16/09 - Policy Primer: Stimulus to Boost
09Q2-Q3, Reduce Later Growth (G)
01/27/09 - A Massive Stimulus, For 2010;
Geithner's Follies (E,g)
2008
11/14/08 - The Obama Presidency: An Economic
Preview (G)
09/24/08 - Congress Can't Repeal Law of
Unintended Consequences (G, f)
09/18/08 - The Federal Bailout: What Next?
(G)
02/27/08 - Little Fiscal Boost Until 08Q3,
After Worst Has Passed (G, e)
01/18/08 - Slowing Sales Taxes Say Little
About Consumer Outlook(G, c)
2007
06/13/07 - State & Local Government to
Provide Solid Boost to Economy (G)
01/24/07 - Expiring Tax Cuts, Surging
Entitlements Haunt Fiscal Outlook (G)
01/10/07 - Fiscal Policy to Stay Course
Despite Democratic Takeover (G)
2006
11/06/06 - Election to Have Minimal Impact
on Federal Policy (G)
04/24/06 - Massachusetts Health Plan Mixes
Mandates & Market Forces (G)
2005
11/22/05 - State & Local Sector to
Provide Solid Boost to Economy (G)
07/26/05 - Federal Government, States See
Surging Revenue Growth (G)
06/16/05 - China Currency Reforms Unlikely
to Benefit U.S. (I, g)
03/04/05 - Greenspan's Less-Than-Nuclear
Option (G)
02/08/05 - OMB Deficit Estimate, Off $110B
in FY04, Looks on Target in 05 (G)
2004
12/15/04 - Private Social Security Accounts
Offer Better Deal, Ownership (G)
11/16/04 - Social Security Privatization
Likely; Tax, Tort Reform Less So (G)
10/13/04 - Corporate Tax Cut Shows That
Fiscal Discipline Is Off the Radar( G)
09/23/04 - CBO Deficit Outlook Low-Balls
Spending, Real GDP Growth (G)
07/26/04 - Business Cycle Trumps the
Election Cycle (G)
06/07/04 - GOP Likely to Keep Congress,
Regardless of Presidential Vote (G)
05/18/04 - Long-Term Fiscal Imbalance More
Manageable Than It Seems (G)
04/22/04 - Kerry Recruits Clinton Deficit
Hawks for Economic Team (G)
04/07/04 - 2001 Tax Cut Increased Relative
Burden on the Rich (G)
03/24/04 - Jobless Rate Does Not Show Much
Labor Market Slack (L,g)
02/24/04 - Protectionism, Not Outsourcing,
Is Real Threat to U.S. Jobs (G,
e)
02/19/04 - Low-Wage/High-Benefits Growth Mix Behind Revenue Shortfall (G, l)
01/27/04 - Federal FY04 Deficit Likely to be
Better Than Expected (G)
2003
11/20/03 - GOP Likely To Expand Senate
Control in 04 (G)
09/11/03 - 03H2 Fiscal Stimulus To Be
Followed By More In 04 (G)
08/06/03 - Cautious Builders, Bankers Make
Housing Bubble-Proof (E,g)
06/17/03 - Medicare Drug Benefit To Greatly
Exceed $400B Cost (G)
06/10/03 - S&L Problems To Offset Some,
But Not A Lot, Of Federal Tax Cut (G)
05/22/03 - Sunsets Conceal True Size Of
$350B Tax Compromise (G)
02/13/03 - Greenspan Dents
Hopes For Full Passage Of '03 Tax Cut (G)
01/09/03 - Bush Tax Plan Stands Better
Chance Than Most Expect (G)
2002
12/10/02 - Failure Is An Option (Sometimes
The Best One) (G)
12/05/02 - Greenspan Is As
Dovish As Ever (F,g)
11/14/02 - Regime Change In
Congress To Produce Only Modest Stimulus (G)
11/04/02 - Elections Apt To
Yield Little Change In Fiscal Policy (G)
09/23/02 - Federal Deficits
Likely To FY2010 & Beyond (G)
09/06/02 - Federal Deficits
Likely To Be Larger Than CBO Estimate (G)
07/24/02 - State & Local
Gov't Budgets Under Pressure (G)
05/02/02 - Defense Hike:
Short-Term Positive, Long-Term Negative (E,g)
02/06/02 - CBO Budget More
Relevant Than OMB; Stimulus DOA (G,e)
2001
11/14/01 - State
& Local Gov't Budgets Taking Turn For The Worse (G)
09/20/01 - Policy Vs.
Uncertainty: Economy Weak Near-Term (E,f,g)
09/13/01 - Economic
Implications Of September 11 Tragedy (E,f,g)
07/25/01 - GOP-Created Lockbox
Is Perverse Policy Constraint (G,e)
06/12/01 - Like '68 Surcharge,
'01 Tax Cut Will Have Limited Impact (E,c,g)
04/17/01 - Bush Tax Cut Should
Aid Consumers In 2001 (G,e,c)
03/02/01 - Official Bush
Estimates Out: Tax Cut Still Modest (G,e)
02/22/01 - Still Early, But
Tax Refund Story Appears Dull (E,g)
02/16/01 - Do Not Expect Much
Fiscal Discipline (G)
02/09/01 - Bush Tax Plan Not
That Historically Large (G,e)
02/08/01 - Highlights Of Tax
Legislation: 1980's & 1990s (G,e)
02/08/01 - Highlights Of Tax
Legislation: 1960s & 1970s (G,e)
01/11/01 - O'Neill: Able But
Unexpected Appointee (G)
2000
12/14/00 - Likely Bush
Appointments At Fed & Treasury (F,g)
08/21/00 - Next President May
Find That 6 of 7 FOMC Positions Need Filling (G,f)
06/14/00 - Gov't Sector Now
Adds +0.6% To Real GDP Growth (G)
1999
12/06/99 - Ignored Caps Should
Soon Be Replaced By 'Lock-Box' (G)
11/19/99 - Fiscal Discipline
Ending; Discretionary Spending Up 6+% (G)
09/24/99 - More Evasion Of
Spending Caps; 'Black' Beige Book Details (G,f)
05/19/99 - Summers &
Eizenstat Appointments Mean Little (G)
04/27/99 - Fed No Longer Sees
Need To Be Preemptive (F,g)
03/05/99 - Economy Still
Eden-Like; Greenspan May Not Be Reappointed; Spending Caps Likely To Be Altered
(E,f,g)
03/05/99 - IRS Update: Tax
Credits Spur Higher Refunds; Big Tax Bills To Follow Later (C,g)
02/23/99 - Refunds Up Big,
Aided By Tax Credits & E-Filings (C,g)
02/03/99 - Clinton's Guns
& Butter; Major Social Security Scam (G)
1998
12/09/98 - Federal Outlays To
Rise 5+% In FY1999 (G)
10/23/98 - 'Pork Barrel'
Politics Returning; Economy Slowing (G, e, f)
09/09/98 - Both Monetary &
Fiscal Stimulation Likely In 1999 (F,g,e)
01/20/98 - Political
Climate Favors Tax Cut In 1998 (E,g)
1997
08/01/97 - FMIs View
Of The Balanced Budget Agreement (G)
05/07/97 - Budget Pact Does
Not Brighten The Long-Term Budget Outlook (G)
05/06/97 - Budget Agreement
May Actually Provide Near -Term Fiscal Stimulus (G)
04/03/97 - IRS Tax Refunds
Are Not Distorting Cons. Pattern (C,g)
02/19/97 - Analysis Of
Clintons FY98 Budget (G)
1995-1996
10/25/96 - Gov't Sector To
Weigh Less On GDP Growth (G,e)
06/11/96 - Federal
Discretionary Spending To Surge In Coming Months (G)
05/17/96 - Left-Over
Clinton Appropriations To Be Stimulative (E,g)
04/17/96 - Pace Of Tax
Refunds Ahead Of Last Year, But Not Unusually Fast (C,g)
03/22/96 - Analysis Of '96
Tax Refunds (C,g)
01/17/96 - Balanced Budget
Negotiations Near The End (G)
01/05/96 - Effects Of The
Government Shutdown (G)
11/21/95 - Federal Workers
Back; Economic Data Release Dates Revised (G)
11/14/95 - Fiscal Chaos
Could Have Big Temporary Economic Impacts (G)
10/11/95 - If Clinton &
Congress Cannot Agree, Fiscal Chaos May Reign Soon (G)
06/06/95 - IRS Issues
Record Refunds (C,g)
03/21/95 - Slow Payment of
Tax Refunds To Take Off 1% From GDP Growth (C,g) |